- 3 The Following Two Tables Appear In The Paper Can Hearts And Minds By Bought The Economics Of Counterinsurgency In I 1 (104.64 KiB) Viewed 22 times
- 3 The Following Two Tables Appear In The Paper Can Hearts And Minds By Bought The Economics Of Counterinsurgency In I 2 (117.18 KiB) Viewed 22 times
3. The following two tables appear in the paper "Can Hearts and Minds by Bought: The Economics of Counterinsurgency in Iraq" by Eli Berman, Jacob N. Shapiro and Joseph H. Felter. The first table (TABLE 2) gives summary statistics and the second table (TABLE 3) gives results from six different linear regressions. TABLE 2 SUMMARY STATISTICS 0 0 0 0 2.127 Standard Variable Olervations Weight Mean Deviation Minimum Maximum Incidents per 1.000 1,010 288,023,728 586 1.23 Ethnicity: Sunni vote share 18 28,104,187 210 917 Shia vote share 18 28.101.187 166 351 902 Kurdish vote share 18 28.104.187 .171 326 .993 Reconstruction spending (5 per capita): CERP projects 1,040 288,023,728 10.362 17.159 552.812 CERP excluding CHRRP and OHDACA 1,010 288,023,728 10.281 16.956 552812 Or which > 50,000 projects 1.0.10 288,023,728 9.013 15.302 0 527.450 Or which $50,000 projects 1,010 288,023,728 123 3.007 60.214 Non CERP projects 1,010 288,023,728 68.856 124.632 Yes 10.810.8 Large projects 1,040 288,023,728 57.750 115.165 10.813.0 Education projects 1,010 288,023,728 . 161 0 33.107 Electricity projects 1,010 288,023,728 003 105 0 9.944 Health projects 1,010 288,023,728 2.450 0 45.795 Transportation projects 288,023,728 743 2.858 0 Water and sanitation projects 89.415 1.000 288,023,728 6.981 68.294 0 10,8304 Economy: Unemployment rate 312 84.647,702 ,096 0 195 Proportion of population in Ist or 2nd income quintile 304 84,181,881 5 80 Income quintile change, 2002- 100 -,012 391 -1.6 Natural resources 1.925 Oil and gas TETES. price weighted 1,010 288,023,728 0012 002 ,017 Pipeline volume, price weighted 1.0-10 288,023,728 13.149 29218 8 950.969 NOTE--Means weighted by WFP district population estimates. Vote shares are from December 2005 elections at the governorate level Unit of observation for time arying data in the district/half year. Summary statistics for variables based on survey data are weighted by population during survey Economie variables are based on COSIT surveys fielded in 2004.1.2005:11 and 2007: -572 1,010 069
TABLE 3 PREDICTORS OF VIOLENT INCIDENTS AGAINST COALITION AND IRAQI FORCES DEPENDENT VARIABLE: INCIDENTS PER 1,000 (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) Sunni share 2.123 2.114 .915. 1.113*** 1.381 .965 (29) (29) (.14) (.15) (.12) (.139) 2005 .191* -.0745 -.0761 285 -.0009 (.064) (.043) (.042) (.190) (.056) 2006 531** -0215 -0231 .243 .085 (.15) (12) (12) (207) 2007 (.071) .608 .230 229. .402*** .135 (.12) (10) (.10) (.149) (074) 2008 .0279 .0246 0229 .110 --090 (.040) (034) (.034) (.059) (054) Sunni share x 2005 1.3213 1.3284 1.172 .027 (29) (29) (29) (244) Sunni share x 2006 2.689 2.696 2.651 -425 (.78) (.78) (79) (.431) Sunni share x 2007 1.857 1.864*** 1.886*** -1.313 (40) (.40) (.376) (489) Sunni share x 2008 .0713 .0777 .141 -1.270 (25) (26) (285) Shia share (253) .251 543 .083 Income quintile change, (208) (050) -215 -.030 2002-4 (.178) (.036) Unemployment rate -3.252 -783 (1.694) (.475) Proportion of popula- - 0101 -,00006 tion in Ist or 2nd it (.0042) (.0009) come quintile Incidents/1.000 lagged half year .824 Constant (0258) - 129 .110*** -.0479 .305 .0271 (.067) (.059) (.035) (.069) (.120) (0346) Observations 1,0-40 1,040 1,040 1,040 1,000 900 .18 22 26 27 .32 .77 NOTE.—Robust standard errors are in parentheses, clustered by district. Results are robust to clustering by governorate instead. Regressions are weighted by estimated pop- ulation. * Significant at the 10 percent level. ** Significant at the 5 percent level. *** Significant at the 1 percent level. a. Interpret the estimated coefficient of 2.123 on the Sunni vote share given in equation 1 of TABLE 3 (5 marks) b. Assess the magnitude of the coefficient that you interpreted in part a. of this question. (10 marks)