- 3 The Following Two Tables Appear In The Paper Can Hearts And Minds By Bought The Economics Of Counterinsurgency In I 1 (90.64 KiB) Viewed 22 times
- 3 The Following Two Tables Appear In The Paper Can Hearts And Minds By Bought The Economics Of Counterinsurgency In I 2 (118.25 KiB) Viewed 22 times
3. The following two tables appear in the paper "Can Hearts and Minds by Bought: The Economics of Counterinsurgency in Iraq" by Eli Berman, Jacob N. Shapiro and Joseph H. Felter. The first table (TABLE 2) gives summary statistics and the second table (TABLE 3) gives results from six different linear regressions. D D 0 0 O 0 TABLE 2 SUMMARY STATISTICS Standard Variable Observations Weight Mean Deviation Minimum Maximum Incidents per 1.000 1.000 288,023.728 586 1.258 O 22.754 Ethnicity: Sunni vole share 18 28, 104.187 210 .917 Shia wote share 18 28,104,187 .466 351 .902 Kurdish vole share 18 28,104,187 .171 .999 Reconstruction spending (5 per capita): CERP projects 1.000 288,029,728 10,562 17.150 552.812 CERP excluding CHRRP and OHDACA 1.040 288,023,728 10.281 16.956 852.812 Of which > 50,000 projects 1,040 288,023,728 9.049 15.302 527.450 Of which s 50,000 projects 1,040 288,023,728 1.238 3.007 69.214 Non-CERP projects 1.000 288,023,728 68.856 124.682 10,840.8 Large projects 1.010 288,023,728 57.750 115.165 10.813.0 Education projects 1.060 288,023,728 461 2.127 33.107 Electricity projects 1.000 288,023,728 .003 .105 1.040 288,023,728 872 2.450 45.795 Transportation projects 1.000 298,023,728 743 89.015 Water and sanitation projects 1.040 288,023,728 6.981 68.204 10,830.4 Economy Unemployment rate 312 84,647,702 096 .495 Proportion of population in Ist or 2nd income quintile 304 84,181.884 99.686 14.586 5 50 Income quintile change, 2002-4 100 26,637,385 304 -1.6 1.925 Natural resources Oil and gas reserves, price weighted 1.040 288,023,728 0012 .017 Pipeline volume, price weighted 1,040 288,023,728 13.143 29.218 O 250.968 Not-Means weighted by WFP district population estimates. Vote shares are from December 2005 elections at the governorate level. Unit of observation for time-varying data is the district/half year Summary statistics for variables based on survey data are weighted by population during survey, Economic variables are based on COSIT surveys ficided in 2004:1, 2005:11, and 2007:1. health projects D D D 0 -012 002
TABLE 3 PREDICTORS OF VIOLENT INCIDENTS AGAINST COALITION AND IRAQI FORCES DEPENDENT VARIABLE: INCIDENTS PER 1,000 (2) (3) (5) (6) Sunni share 2.123. 2.114*** 915 1.113 1.381 .965 (.29) (29) (.15) (12) (.139) 2005 .191 -.0745 - 0761 285 -.0009 (064) (.043) (.042) (.190) (056) 2006 531-0215 -0231 243 .085 (.15) (12) (.12) (207) 2007 (.071) .608*** 230 .229 .402 .135 (.12) (10) (.10) (149) (.074) 2008 .0279 0246 0229 .110° -.090 (040) (.034) (.034) (.059) (.054) Sunni share x 2005 1.321 1.328 1.172 .027 (29) (-29) (244) Sunni share < 2006 2.689*** 2.696*** 2.651*** .425 (.78) (.78) (79) (431) Sunni share x 2007 1.857" 1.864*** 1.886*** -1.313 (40) (40) (.376) (489) Sunni stare x 2008 0713 0777 .141 -1.270 (25) (26) (285) Shia share (253) .251 .083 (.14) (208) Income quintile change, (050) - 215 -.030 2002- (178) (.036) Unemployment rate -3.252 --783 (1.694) (.475) Proportion of popular - 0101 - 00006 tion in Ist or 2nd in- (.0042) (.0009) come quintile Incidents/1.000 lagged .824 (0258) Constant .144 - 129 .110 -.0479 .305 .0271 (067) (.059) (.035) (.069) (.120) (.0346) Observations 1,040 1.010 1,040 1,040 1.000 900 .18 .22 26 27 .32 .77 NOTE--Robust standard errors are in parentheses, clustered by district. Results are robust to clustering by governorate instead. Regressions are weighted by estimated pop- ulation. * Significant at the 10 percent level. ** Significant at the 5 percent level. *** Significant at the 1 percent level. half year a. Interpret the estimated coefficient of 2.123 on the Sunni vote share given in equation 1 of TABLE 3 (5 marks) b. Assess the magnitude of the coefficient that you interpreted in part a. of this question.