Gregory Whiles has pointed out a problem with massive untargeted wiretaps. To illustrate the problem, he supposes that o

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answerhappygod
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Gregory Whiles has pointed out a problem with massive untargeted wiretaps. To illustrate the problem, he supposes that o

Post by answerhappygod »

Gregory Whiles has pointed out a problem with massiveuntargeted wiretaps.
To illustrate the problem, he supposes that one out of everymillion Americans has governemnt ties.
Furthermore, he supposes that the profile is 99%accurate.
So if a person has government ties the profile will pickthem up 99% of the time, and if a person does not havegovernment ties, the profile will accidentally pick them up 1%of the time.
Given the profile has picked up a person, what is theprobability the person actually has governemnt ties?
What are your thoughts on this?
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