Chapter 3. Suppose a fourth evidence node e4 was added to the right-most figure. Suppose the conditional probabilities f

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Chapter 3 Suppose A Fourth Evidence Node E4 Was Added To The Right Most Figure Suppose The Conditional Probabilities F 1 (33.74 KiB) Viewed 14 times

Chapter 3. Suppose a fourth evidence node e4 was added to the right-most figure. Suppose the conditional probabilities for e4 were assessed as follows: P(e4 [H) = 0.10 and P(e4 |HC) = 0.70. If P(H) = 0.50 and the other three evidence nodes have conditional probabilities given on slides 12-20 (Chapter 3 lecture slides) then compute the risk that Project XYZ will experience significant delays in completing its software development. For this problem, define Risk = P(H|e₁e₂e3e4). e₁ Project XYZ has been unable to fully staff to the number of software engineers needed for this effort H A commercial product has been tested and found to meet software key Requirements performance for the software's parameters operational functionality continue to change and evolve despite best efforts to control the e2 Key software development facilities are geographically separated across different time zones e4 e3