1. First, observe and interpret the data on the top half of the page - this is the most recent 90% probability predictio

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1 First Observe And Interpret The Data On The Top Half Of The Page This Is The Most Recent 90 Probability Predictio 1 (504.35 KiB) Viewed 51 times

1. First, observe and interpret the data on the top half of the page - this is the most recent 90% probability prediction of coral reef bleaching. These data use an ensemble (a group) of models to predict where corals might bleach in the next several months. The "90%" model output indicates that 90% of the models predict stress due to bleaching in the red regions of the map. You can find probabilities for heat stress on the maps further down the page. Provide some general interpretations of the global map here - what regions of the world are in Alert Level 1 or Alert Level 2?

Outlook of Coral Bleaching Heat Stress: (Click on the images belo 2022 May 10 NOAA 90% Probability Bleaching Heat Streas for May-Aug 2022 Experimental, v5.0, CFSV2-based, 28 to 112 Membara 90% Chance: (Stress level predicted by 90% of ensemble members) No Stress Watch Warning Alert Level 1 1 Alert Level 2 2022 May 10 NOAA 10% Probability Bleaching Heat Streas for May-Aug 2022 Experimental, v5.0, CFSV2-baeed, 28 to 112 Members 60% Chance: (Stress level predicted by 60% of ensemble members) No Stress watch Warning Alert Level 1 1 Alert Level 2 Probabilistic Outlook of Bleaching Heat Stress Reaching and Exceeding Specified Level 2022 May 10 NOAA Coral Bleaching Probabilities (Alert 2) for May-Aug 2022 Experimental, v5.0, CFSV2-based, 28 to 112 Members Alert Level 2: < 10 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Probability 80 90 100 96 2022 May 10 NOAA Coral Bleaching Probabilities (Alert 1 & 2) for May-Aug 2022 Experimental, v5.0, CFSV2-baeed, 28 to 112 Members Alert Levels 1 & 2: 1 < 10 10 20 30 40 50 Probability 60 70 80 90 100 % 2022 May 10 NOA4 Coral Bleaching Probabilities (Woring & Higher) for May-Aug 2022 Experimental, v5.0, CFSV2-baeed, 28 to 112 Members Warning & higher: < 10 10 20 30 40 50 Probability 60 70 80 90 100 %