A truth serum given to a suspect is known to be 90% reliable when the person is guilty and 99% reliable when the person
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A truth serum given to a suspect is known to be 90% reliable when the person is guilty and 99% reliable when the person
A truth serum given to a suspect is known to be 90% reliable when the person is guilty and 99% reliable when the person is innocent. In other words, 10% of the guilty are judged innocent by the serum and 1% of the innocent are judged guilty. If a suspect was selected at random from a group of suspects of which only 5% have ever committed a crime, and the serum indicated that he is guilty, what is the probability that he is innocent?
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