4) “Project” means the longest path in the following questions. a. What is the probability that the project is completed
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4) “Project” means the longest path in the following questions. a. What is the probability that the project is completed
Possible paths Expected Varianc duration S.D e 5.36961 1. A-B-D-E-F-G-H-J-M-P-Q-R-S 52.63 28.83 6 1.46230 2. A-C-D-E-F-G-H-J-M-P-Q-R-S 31.13 2.14 4 5.37106 3. A-B-D-E-F-G-H-I-L-M-P-Q-R-S 54.67 28.85 4 1.46761 4. A-C-D-E-F-G-H-I-L-M-P-Q-R-S 33.17 2.15 3 5.36871 5. A-B-D-E-F-G-H-K-L-M-P-Q-R-S 54.45 28.82 1 1.45897 6. A-C-D-E-F-G-H-K-L-M-P-Q-R-S 32.95 2.13 6 7. A-B-D-E-F-G-H-I-L-N-O-Q-R-S 54.68 28.85 5.37078 1.46657 8. A-C-D-E-F-G-H-I-L-N-O-Q-R-S 33.18 2.15 2 5.36842 9. A-B-D-E-F-G-H-K-L-N-O-Q-R-S 54.47 28.82 6 1.45792 10. A-C-D-E-F-G-H-K-L-N-O-Q-R-S 32.97 2.13 9 For the critical path (A-B-D-E-F-G-H-I-L-M-P-Q-R-S), the different time periods we have obtained are: Most likely time: 52.6 days Optimistic time: 32.6 days Pessimistic time: 85.1 days
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