Ivan is a stock-broker for an international bank. He is considering purchasing shares in three companies; “Rentec PLC',
Posted: Tue Apr 26, 2022 5:54 pm
Ivan is a stock-broker for an international bank. He is considering purchasing shares in three companies; “Rentec PLC', 'Swiss Finance'and 'Taylor-Wilson Construction Company' Rumours in the financial markets suggest that each of these businesses is likely to be taken over in the near future. (A take-over of a company is usually associated with a significant and rapid increase in the company's share price). The probabilities of a take-over for each firm are given in the table below. Company Name Probability of Take- over Rentec PLC 0.68 Swiss Finance 0.49 Taylor Wilson 0.38 a. Use a probability tree to represent the joint probabilities of these firms being taken-over b. Use your probability tree to calculate the probability that none of these three firms are taken-over. c. Use your probability tree to calculate the probability that at least 2 of these firms are taken-over.