Consider the same informational cascade game as in Lecture 11 (prior belief = 0.5, payoff of correct choice = 1, payoff
Posted: Sun May 29, 2022 7:08 pm
Consider the same informational cascade game as in Lecture 11 (prior belief = 0.5, payoff of correct choice = 1, payoff of wrong choice = 0). Let the signal accuracy be 0.85 for every player: P(SLIL is correct) = P(sR|R is correct) = 0.85. If the first consumer chooses L, what is his posterior belief P(L is correct) at the time of his choice? Please write your answer in digits, not fraction.