Question 1: Objective Risk Analysis (20 points) Consider the following fire loss experience of Nopay Limited over the la
Posted: Sat Nov 27, 2021 5:21 pm
Question 1: Objective Risk Analysis (20 points)
Consider the following fire loss experience of Nopay Limited
over the last 10 years.
Both Nopay Limited and the insurance company believe that the
future fire loss will follow the same distribution.
a) Determine the expected amount of fire loss for next
year. (4 points) (b) Determine the standard deviation of the
amount of fire loss for next year. (4 points) (c) Determine
the pure premium for the following insurance policies that cover
the company for firm losses:
i. An insurance policy that provides full coverage. (2
points)
ii. An insurance policy with $1,000,000 deductible, 50%
coinsurance policy up to $2,500,000, and full coverage beyond
$2,500,000. (2 points) (d) Suppose Nopay wanted to setup a
risk capital that will protect it against fire loss above the
expected loss level 95% of the time. Nopay will buy fire insurance
to cover the amount of fire loss over the risk capital. Determine
the 95% risk capital. (4 points) (e) Explain the meaning of
the maximum probable yearly loss. (4 points)
Annual Dollar Losses
Relative Frequency
$0
0.60
1,000,000
0.20
2,500,000
0.10
5,000,000
0.05
8,000,000
0.05
Consider the following fire loss experience of Nopay Limited
over the last 10 years.
Both Nopay Limited and the insurance company believe that the
future fire loss will follow the same distribution.
a) Determine the expected amount of fire loss for next
year. (4 points) (b) Determine the standard deviation of the
amount of fire loss for next year. (4 points) (c) Determine
the pure premium for the following insurance policies that cover
the company for firm losses:
i. An insurance policy that provides full coverage. (2
points)
ii. An insurance policy with $1,000,000 deductible, 50%
coinsurance policy up to $2,500,000, and full coverage beyond
$2,500,000. (2 points) (d) Suppose Nopay wanted to setup a
risk capital that will protect it against fire loss above the
expected loss level 95% of the time. Nopay will buy fire insurance
to cover the amount of fire loss over the risk capital. Determine
the 95% risk capital. (4 points) (e) Explain the meaning of
the maximum probable yearly loss. (4 points)
Annual Dollar Losses
Relative Frequency
$0
0.60
1,000,000
0.20
2,500,000
0.10
5,000,000
0.05
8,000,000
0.05