Answer Happy

Bayesian analysis part 2 Give a situation from your everyday life and apply Bayes's theorem to it. Use two or three hypotheses. State your hypotheses clearly. State your prior probabilities clearly. State your data clearly. State your likelihood function clearly. Use Bayes's theorem to calculate posterior probabilities for your hypotheses and state your posterior probabilities clearly. For an excellence grade, interpret the difference between the prior and posterior probabilities using common sense or intuitive reasoning. Credit will be given for the use of a plausible and novel scenario, the inventiveness shown, and the appropri- ateness of Bayes's theorem.