6. [FINA2230 Final Exam 2020] In an insurance company, it is modelled that: The number of claims made by an individual i
Posted: Mon May 09, 2022 1:32 pm
6. [FINA2230 Final Exam 2020] In an insurance company, it is modelled that: The number of claims made by an individual in a year after surviving coronavirus infection follows B(4, p). The prior distribution of p is a(p) = 3.75p(1 – p)0.5, 0 <p < 1. BoJo, a UK survivor of coronavirus infection, made 1 claim in a given year. (a) Find the mode of the posterior distribution of p. (b) Using Excel, find the 80% shortest credibility interval for p.