The United States recorded a Current Account deficit of 3.10 percent of the country's Gross Domestic Product in 2020. so
Posted: Thu May 05, 2022 6:38 am
As some finance journalists put it: “...the current account
deficit is the dominant factor (in explaining the depreciation of
the dollar) ... The US deficit is running at 3,1% of GDP. This
implies further dollar depreciation from here.” We know, however,
that the CA deficit is the difference between saving and
investment.
a) Will we see a depreciation, or an appreciation of the dollar
given the current policy from the FED?
b) Will that help in changing saving and investment and thus
lead to the closing of the current account deficit?
c) Is a depreciation of the dollar vis-à-vis the euro the
only mechanism through which the current account deficit can be
reduced?
d) Can the US economy continue enjoying a CA deficit of
3,1% or worse without further depreciation of the dollar?
The United States recorded a Current Account deficit of 3.10 percent of the country's Gross Domestic Product in 2020. souncer: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis -1 -1.7 -2 -2.2 -2.2 -2.4 -2.3 -2.4 -2.6 -2.7 -3 -4 -5 -6 -7 2015 2020 TRADINGECONOMICS.COM | U.S. BUREAU OF ECONOMIC ANALYSIS Zoom: 1m 6m 1y 10y all 20:20 Select Period: 1.440 1.135 1.25 1.20 1.15 1.10 1.100 1 -2.4 2010 -3.2 -3.9 -4.2 2.000 EURvs. USD 29/04/2010 2011 -4.3 2012 -4.7- -5.3 -5.9 -6 2005 30/10/2020 2013 -5.1 -4.7 ☐ 2014 -3.2 -3.1 2010 2015 -2.7 2:016 -2.4 2017 2018 2019 -3.1
Select: Period: 1.11 1.10 1.09 1.08 1.07 1.06 1.05 1.04 EUR vs. USD 14/03/2022 Mar 16 Mar 20 Mar 24 30/04/2022 Mar 20 Apr Apr 05 Zoom: Apr 09 1m Apr 13 6m Apr 17 1y Apr 21 10y Apr 25 all Apr
deficit is the dominant factor (in explaining the depreciation of
the dollar) ... The US deficit is running at 3,1% of GDP. This
implies further dollar depreciation from here.” We know, however,
that the CA deficit is the difference between saving and
investment.
a) Will we see a depreciation, or an appreciation of the dollar
given the current policy from the FED?
b) Will that help in changing saving and investment and thus
lead to the closing of the current account deficit?
c) Is a depreciation of the dollar vis-à-vis the euro the
only mechanism through which the current account deficit can be
reduced?
d) Can the US economy continue enjoying a CA deficit of
3,1% or worse without further depreciation of the dollar?
The United States recorded a Current Account deficit of 3.10 percent of the country's Gross Domestic Product in 2020. souncer: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis -1 -1.7 -2 -2.2 -2.2 -2.4 -2.3 -2.4 -2.6 -2.7 -3 -4 -5 -6 -7 2015 2020 TRADINGECONOMICS.COM | U.S. BUREAU OF ECONOMIC ANALYSIS Zoom: 1m 6m 1y 10y all 20:20 Select Period: 1.440 1.135 1.25 1.20 1.15 1.10 1.100 1 -2.4 2010 -3.2 -3.9 -4.2 2.000 EURvs. USD 29/04/2010 2011 -4.3 2012 -4.7- -5.3 -5.9 -6 2005 30/10/2020 2013 -5.1 -4.7 ☐ 2014 -3.2 -3.1 2010 2015 -2.7 2:016 -2.4 2017 2018 2019 -3.1
Select: Period: 1.11 1.10 1.09 1.08 1.07 1.06 1.05 1.04 EUR vs. USD 14/03/2022 Mar 16 Mar 20 Mar 24 30/04/2022 Mar 20 Apr Apr 05 Zoom: Apr 09 1m Apr 13 6m Apr 17 1y Apr 21 10y Apr 25 all Apr