Answer Happy

a. 16. XYZ Inc is contemplating expanding their operations. Their initial analysis has come up with the following: The project could be implemented right away and there would be 50% probability of success and 50% probability of failure XYZ could commission a market research firm to test the market for its product. The market research firm offers two options: A small sample test that would take 1 year and would cost $10,000 right away. If the small sample test reported good market conditions, the project has an 80% probability of success. If the test reported poor market conditions, the project has a 20% chance of success. The analysts at XYZ think that there is a 50% chance of the test reporting good conditions. b. A large sample test that would take 2 years and cost $50,000 right away. If the large sample test reported good market conditions, the project has a 95% probability of If the test reported poor market conditions, the project has a 5% probability of success. The analysts at XYZ think that there is a 50% chance of the test reporting good conditions. A successful project would yield a positive NPV of $100,000 at the time of implementation. An unsuccessful project would result in a negative NPV of $50,000 at the time of implementation. success. The discount rate is 10% Should XYZ go for the small sample test, the large sample test or not test at all? .....9 points